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Built for sealed Pokémon & One Piece investors

Invest with data, not opinions.

TCGQuant uses real-time supply, demand, and pricing data to generate quantitative buy signals for sealed TCG products. No speculation, no hype — just empirical analysis so you can make informed investment decisions backed by evidence.

Free tier available — no credit card required · Premium $12.99/mo
tcgquant.com/dashboard
Live
TCG Quant V.5
Search sets...
15
BUY SETUP
15
WATCH
113
TRACKED
Top Opportunities
RANKED BY SIGNAL SCORE
#1 · Elite Trainer Box
▲ BUY9
White Flare
$127.70
#2 · Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box
▲ BUY9
Paradox Rift (Roaring Moon)
$174.22
#3 · Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box
▲ BUY9
Twilight Masquerade
$181.25
#4 · Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box
▲ BUY9
Shrouded Fable
$163.01
81.6%
Signal accuracy
298
Signals tracked
113
Products tracked
Daily
Data updates

A complete sealed investment platform.

Every tool a sealed TCG investor needs — from quick entry signals to deep research reports. All powered by daily data from TCGPlayer, eBay, and PSA.

Empirical evidence, not personal opinion.

Every signal and threshold is derived from actual market data — backtested across 100+ products and validated with real returns. We publish the evidence, not just the conclusion.

Supply & Demand Signals

BUY SETUP, WATCH, and NEUTRAL signals powered by DSR, inventory days, and supply contraction scoring. 10-point composite model updated daily.

Set Explorer

Set-level research with chase cards, pull rates, PSA grading data, price history comparison charts, and investment thesis scores for every tracked set.

Singles Intel & EV

Top 10 card prices, chase concentration risk, box EV ratio, and expected value per pack — computed daily from live TCGPlayer market prices.

Pull Rates

Set-specific pull rates for 24 sets covering SV and SWSH eras. Know the odds per rarity tier before you open or hold.

CAGR Calculator & Compare

Annualized returns by product, side-by-side comparison with AI-powered verdicts, and winning metric highlighting across every data point.

Destruction Tracker

Estimates sealed supply consumed via PSA grading data. Adjust the destruction rate slider to model supply depletion scenarios.

Every sealed TCG strategy.

LONG-TERM INVESTOR
Building sealed positions

Identify undervalued sets with supply contraction signals, track long-term thesis scores, and time entries using demand pressure analysis.

OPENER / RIPPER
Calculating expected value

Compare EV per pack across sets, evaluate pull rates against box prices, and find the most profitable sets to open right now.

ACTIVE TRADER
Timing supply squeezes

Track daily signal changes, monitor eBay sold listings for market validation, and use the allocation calculator to size positions by conviction.

Three conditions. One signal.

TCG Quant monitors eBay supply and sales velocity across 113 sealed TCG products daily, flagging when all three supply contraction conditions align simultaneously.

01
We track the market

Daily eBay supply counts, sold listing prices, and sales velocity across 113 sealed products — powered by live API data.

02
The signal fires

When DSR is trending up, supply has fallen 10%+, and there are fewer than 25 days of stock remaining, a BUY SETUP fires.

03
You act with conviction

Each signal scores 1–10 with full transparency into the underlying data. Higher scores have historically produced stronger returns.

Real data from the dashboard
tcgquant.com/dashboard · Supply & Demand
TCGQuant Supply & Demand chart showing signal bands and price movement

Supply contracting, signal firing, price following — tracked daily across every set.

15 active entry windows

Real signals currently active in the dashboard — supply contracting, demand rising, stock thinning. These are the top-scoring BUY SETUP signals right now.

White Flare
Elite Trainer Box
$127.70
BUY SETUPScore 9/10
Paradox Rift (Roaring Moon)
Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box
$174.22
BUY SETUPScore 9/10
Twilight Masquerade
Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box
$181.25
BUY SETUPScore 9/10
Shrouded Fable
Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box
$163.01
BUY SETUPScore 9/10
Surging Sparks
Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box
$278.22
BUY SETUPScore 9/10
Stellar Crown
Booster Box
$331.32
BUY SETUPScore 8/10
Updated daily · 15 BUY SETUPs · 15 on WATCH

Measured where the signal is real.

298 signals tracked since early 2024 — each on sets at least 90 days post-release, after release hype settles and true supply/demand dynamics emerge. Higher composite scores correlate with stronger and more consistent appreciation.

Signal score tier performance
ScoreTierHit RateAvg 4wAvg 8w
9–10Elite 92–100%+28–43%+48–72%
7–8Strong 86–91%+14–15%+22–28%
5–6Moderate 83–86%+9–19%+14–26%
3–4Weak 82–94%*+9–11%+11–15%
* Wide range due to small sample at Weak tier · April 2025 – Mar 2026
81.6%
of 298 resolved signals correctly identified supply contraction
+9.7%
average gain at 8 weeks across all tracked signals
+184%
best single signal return — OP-05 Awakening of the New Era

Built from inside the market.

TCGQuant wasn't built by a tech company guessing at collectibles. It was built by sealed TCG investors who spend every day in this market — studying supply curves, tracking eBay sold data, and analyzing which sets have real long-term upside.
We got tired of making investment decisions based on opinions, hype cycles, and gut feelings. So we built the tool we wished existed: one that replaces speculation with empirical data.
PokeProfit Straw Hat Speculator
PokeProfit
PokeProfit
Pokémon TCG investing
Straw Hat Speculator
Straw Hat Speculator
One Piece TCG analysis

Start free. Upgrade when ready.

One 20% return on a single product covers the entire annual cost of Premium.

Every signal after that is pure upside.

Free
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forever
  • Dashboard
  • All 133+ sealed products
  • BUY, WATCH & NEUTRAL signals
  • Daily pricing via TCGPlayer
  • Quick View & Signal Tracker
  • Analysis tools
  • Full Analysis & supply/demand
  • CAGR calculator & compare
  • Destruction Tracker & PSA data
  • Set Explorer research
  • Alerts
  • Weekly email digest
  • Daily email & Discord alerts
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Common questions

Is this financial advice?
No. TCG Quant is an informational tool that tracks quantitative supply and demand signals based on publicly available eBay data. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, or trading advice. Past signal performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making any purchase decisions.
How often is the data updated?
Pricing updates daily via TCGPlayer for all products. Supply and demand signals (eBay listings, DSR, inventory days) update weekly for Booster Boxes, ETBs, and PC ETBs. PSA grading population data covers 55 sets and is refreshed periodically. Legacy and monthly products use a price momentum model.
What does an 81.6% hit rate actually mean?
Out of 298 historical signals tracked, 81.6% correctly identified a set that was in active supply contraction — meaning prices held or appreciated over the following 4 weeks. The average gain across resolved signals is measured at 4 and 8 week intervals. All pricing data is sourced from eBay and TCGPlayer, updated daily.
What markets does TCG Quant cover?
We currently track 113 sealed TCG products: Pokémon (SV + SWSH Booster Boxes, all ETB variants, SM Era, XY Era, Ultra Premium Collections, Super Premium Collections) and One Piece (Booster Boxes OP-01 through OP-14 plus Extra Boosters and Premium Boosters, and sealed cases). All pricing data is sourced from eBay sold listings and TCGPlayer.
What's the difference between BUY SETUP, WATCH, and NEUTRAL?
BUY SETUP means all 3 supply contraction conditions are met simultaneously: DSR trending up, supply down 10%+ over 4 weeks, and inventory below 25 days. WATCH means 2 of 3 conditions are met — the setup is developing but not fully formed. NEUTRAL means fewer than 2 conditions are met with no clear signal at this time.
Why do you use eBay data? What about TCGPlayer?
eBay is the primary data source for all products because it represents the largest and most liquid secondary market for sealed TCG products, with the highest volume of completed sales. This gives us the most accurate real-time price discovery and reliable supply counts. The one exception is One Piece sealed cases — because case-level sales are extremely thin on eBay, we pull pricing data from TCGPlayer for that product type, which has better coverage of the case market. All other signals (Pokémon Booster Boxes, ETBs, Legacy Sets, UPCs, and One Piece Booster Boxes) use eBay sold listings exclusively.
What is the Destruction Tracker?
The Destruction Tracker estimates how much sealed supply has been permanently removed from the market through box openings. When collectors open packs and submit cards to PSA for grading, those sealed boxes are gone forever. We track PSA population data across 55 sets to estimate the number of packs, boxes, and cases consumed. Higher destruction = less sealed supply remaining = stronger long-term price support.
What is the Set Explorer?
The Set Explorer is a research tool that lets you deep-dive into any set across Pokémon and One Piece. It shows chase card pricing, pull rates, market data charts, supply and demand metrics, PSA grading activity, and Long-Term Thesis (LTS) scores. Browse by era or search for any set to see the full picture before making buying decisions.
What is the LTS (Long-Term Thesis) score?
The LTS is a 0–10 investment thesis rating for each set based on four factors: IP desirability (how iconic the Pokémon or characters are), chase card significance (value concentration in top pulls), print run scarcity (how limited the supply is), and historical price performance. Scores of 9+ are rated Generational, 7+ Strong, and 4+ Moderate. LTS complements the short-term supply/demand signals with a longer-term view of a set's investment quality.
Can I cancel my premium subscription?
Yes — you can cancel anytime from your account page. No contracts, no annual commitment required. If you cancel, you'll retain premium access through the end of your current billing period.